External signals · impact on AVY
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FY25 · Board · C-suite

The intelligence layer for physical commerce.

$8.86B revenue · 45% HVC · 28B items on atma.io · NYSE AVY
01
Strategic
The bet · the proof · the prize.
Point of View · the bet in one breath
Re-rate AVY by converting a $8.9B materials franchise into the intelligence layer for physical commerce — capturing recurring digital revenue on the 28B items already on atma.io.
In plain terms
Today AVY sells smart labels once. 28B of those labels are already connected to our atma.io cloud. Turn that installed base into a recurring software business — and the market re-rates AVY from a materials company to a platform.
1
Proof — we're already executing High-value categories now 45% of revenue. Walmart's Intelligent-Labels rollout begins H2 2026.
2
Asymmetry — under-monetized asset 28B connected items live on atma.io. Fewer than 5% generate any subscription revenue today.
3
Tailwind — regulation favors us EU Digital Product Passport phases in 2026–2030. End-to-end stack incumbents are the natural winners.
So what · the prize
Today 13× EV/EBITDA Move 4% of revenue → recurring digital by FY28 Re-rate 17–18× platform multiple Worth ~$5–7B equity value
FY25 Revenue
$8.86B
▲ 1.1% vs FY24
Op Margin
13.2%
▲ 120 bps · target 14.5%
HVC Mix
45%
growing high-teens
atma.io items
28B
2× in 2 years
Strategic frame

Three horizons · 78 / 18 / 4

0–24 months

Horizon 1 · Protect & extend the core

  • Materials mix-shift to HVC (specialty, sustainable)
  • Pricing AI to close 80–120 bps of leakage
12–48 months

Horizon 2 · Build emerging platforms

  • Intelligent Labels Walmart ramp to $300M+ ARR
  • atma.io from 28B → 75–100B items; convert 15–20% to subscriptions
36+ months

Horizon 3 · Create new options

  • Product Intelligence Network — 'Bloomberg for physical products' data product
  • Sustainability intelligence services (carbon scoring, supplier risk)
02
Operational
How the engine runs.
03
Tactical
This week — owner, severity, next move.
This week

Board-level watchlist

Severity
Topic
Why it matters
Owner
Next
HIGH
Walmart RFID Expansion: Recurring Revenue Acceleration
Walmart is scaling RFID mandates across apparel and general merchandise. This is a critical inflection for atma.io item volumes and recurring SaaS revenue. Early execution will reinforce category leadership and valuation expansion.
PRE President, Solutions Group
MEDIUM
adidas Connected Packaging Pilot: Customer Differentiation
adidas is piloting Dynamic Connected Packaging in EMEA. Success will set a precedent for broader adoption and competitive differentiation in sportswear. Track engagement metrics and conversion to full rollout.
SVP SVP, Intelligent Labels
HIGH
3M Launches Sustainability Data Platform: Competitive Threat
3M has announced a Sustainability Intelligence Platform targeting CPG and retail. Monitor customer feedback and pipeline impact, especially for Sustainability Intelligence Partner and Automated ESG Reporting initiatives.
CHI Chief Strategy Officer
MEDIUM
EU Digital Product Passport (DPP) Guidance Update: Regulatory Readiness
The EU is expected to clarify DPP technical requirements this week. Early alignment will position Avery Dennison as the default DPP Generation Engine partner for global brands and drive recurring digital revenue.
CHI Chief Legal & Compliance Officer

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